Sunday, March 6, 2011

Trajectory of Technology

The trajectory of technology now is less about power and more about the experience. Just look at the success of Apple products over powerful PCs, the success of Wii over PS3 and Xbox, DS over PSP. Based on this model of demand, does it mean that Moore’s Law has finally met its match? Computer manufacturers no longer have an economic incentive to create more powerful processors. One because based on our current patterns of usage (as consumers) we have reached the upper limit of the need for processing power. Two is because the software can hardly catch up with the processing power on hand. Powerful hardware is not utilized that efficiently because current software programs are still built on old frameworks. I believe that computers will have a horizontal rather than vertical growth, meaning the increase in power wouldn’t be as pronounced but it will spread to an ever-increasing number of devices, to the point that the world will be enveloped by computing techonlogy, and the internet will become but a layer in the Earth’s atmosphere, as ubiquitous and necessary to life as air itself.

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